Indo-Pak Escalation August 2019

August 20, 2019: Pakistan Army’s befitting response to Indian CFVs in Tatta Pani Sector along LOC. Indian fire had martyred 3 civilians including 7 years old boy. Pakistan Army targeted Indian posts. 6 Indian soldiers including an officer killed, many injured 2 bunkers destroyed. Source: ISPR

August 16, 2019: Analysis

August 16, 2019: Chinese ambassador to the UN talks to media declaring Kashmir’s situation very tense and dangerous. Calls both Pakistan and India to refrain from taking unilateral actions that may aggravate the crisis.

August 16, 2019: United States and France have backed India’s position in the Security Council while UK and China have stood against it. Russia remains neutral.

August 16, 2019: UN Security Council has begun a Closed Door Special meeting to discuss Kashmir. No objections to the meeting by any of the five permanent members.

August 16, 2019: Pakistan’s Foreign Office has just responded to India’s Nuclear Threat of scrapping NFU in the light of future circumstances.

1. Pakistan has Called India’s No First Use a Pretentious policy.
2. Pakistan never took the posture at face value.
3. Pakistan would eschew offensive Nuclear postures.
4. Pakistan would maintain Minimum Credible Deterrence.

August 16, 2019: Indian Defence Minister Rajnath Singh threatens to review India’s No First Use Nuclear Policy in future.

August 16, 2019: Another Pakistani soldier lost his life in the LOC cross-fire. Pakistani death toll in the recent cross-fire reaches 6.

August 15, 2019: Several Thousands hold a demonstration in solidarity with Kashmir in front of Indian High Commission in London.

August 15, 2019: Kashmir to be discussed by UNSC tomorrow (Friday).

August 15, 2019: Pakistan and India are caught in LOC cross-fire. Pakistan has lost 3 soldiers and two civilians. Indian Army loses five soldiers and many are reportedly injured. Indian bunkers have been damaged.

August 15, 2019: Pakistan is marking the Indian Independence Day as black day officially.

August 14, 2019: Prime Minister Imran Khan addresses Azad Jammu and Kashmir assembly. Vows to retaliate to Indian offensive in Azad Jammu and Kashmir.

August 14, 2019: Pakistan marks the day as Kashmir Solidarity Day.

August 13, 2019: Protests erupted in Kashmir on the second day of Eid. Al-Jazeera reports Kashmir is not celebrating Eid. Indian Government has already banned animal sacrifice in Kashmir.

August 13, 2019: Indian Supreme Court allows Kashmir lockdown amid what it calls a ‘sensitive situation’ for the government.

August 13, 2019: Pakistan has requested a UN Security Council Meeting over Kashmir. If this is approved, the meeting will be first in the last 50 years.

August 13, 2019: Amnesty International has condemned Human Rights Violations in Kashmir.

August 12, 2019: Communication stands disconnected for the eighth consecutive day.

August 12, 2019: Eid prayers offered in Kashmir. Gatherings have been limited. Many Kashmiris could not come out of their home to offer Eid prayer due to strict curfew.

August 12, 2019: HRW has stated that Kashmir lockdown is not a sustainable solution to the dispute.

August 11, 2019: Syed Ali Geelani, Chairman APHC Kashmir has confirmed that More than 50 Kashmiris have been killed and more than 4000 have been injured by the Indian forces after July 28.

August 11, 2019: Pakistan Army personnel deployed on the Eastern front have received informal orders for movement. Source: WSK

August 9, 2019: Indian Navy puts all its bases and warships on high alert. Measures taken after Article 370 was revoked by the government and also due to possibility of Pakistan carrying out any attack. Source: ANI

August 9, 2019: Around 500 Kashmirs have been detained and sent to make-shift detention centres by the Indian Security Forces in Kashmir. Crackdown continues.

August 8, 2019: Pakistan has decided to expel Indian High Commissioner Ajay Bisarya and called Pakistani acting High Commissioner back from New Delhi.

August 7, 2019: National Security Committee of Pakistan has decided to call off bilateral trade with India. Diplomatic Relations with India will be downgraded. The independence day will be the day of solidarity with Kashmir. Bilateral treaties will be reviewed. Pakistan will approach UNSC.

Analysis: Since India has violated Simla Agreement by changing the status of Kashmir unilaterally, We expect Pakistan to review Simla Agreement that made Kashmir a bilateral dispute.

August 7, 2019: Foreign Minister of Pakistan, Shah Mahmood Qureshi is returning to Pakistan amid rising escalation with India.

August 7, 2019: Alertness level of all three armed forces has been raised by Pakistan. Tensions are escalating between the two neighbours.

August 7, 2019: Pakistan has relegated diplomatic relations with India. Pakistani High Commissioner to India will not be sent to Delhi.

August 7, 2019: Pakistan has just shut down its airspace for Indian flights.

August 6, 2019: An important development – China opposes Ladakh’s inclusion in India as a Union Territory, terming it “unacceptable & void”.

August 6, 2019: Prime Minister Imran Khan has called another National Security Meeting. The meeting will be held tomorrow.

August 6, 2019: OIC Kashmir Contact group held an emergency meeting in Riyadh.

August 6, 2019: Joint Session of the Parliament has been resumed in Pakistan with Prime Minister Imran Khan’s speech on the issue. Intense debate is going on.

August 6, 2019: Pakistan Army has issued its press release after conclusion of its Corps Commanders Conference. Supports Government of Pakistan in rejection of India’s sham efforts to legalise Kashmir’s occupation and vows to go to any extent in supporting Kashmir’s freedom struggle.

August 6, 2019: High level meeting of Indian Army Core Group chaired by Lt Gen Ranbir Singh held in Srinagar, Jammu Kashmir, to review operational readiness to meet contingencies that can adversely impact security situation.

August 6, 2019: Joint Session of the Pakistani parliament has started at 11.30 hrs. Agenda of the session is Revocation of Articles 370 and 35-A by Indian Government and LOC Cease Fire Violation by the Indian forces including use of cluster munitions against civilians in Kashmir.

August 6, 2019: Corps Commanders Conference continues in GHQ. Situation of Kashmir and escalation with India is being discussed.

August 5, 2019: Pakistan to hold Joint Session of Parliament tomorrow to discuss the emerging situation in Kashmir. Only National Assembly Session has been postponed.

August 5, 2019: Pakistan’s Foreign Office has rejected India’s move to change Kashmir’s demography by scrapping article 370. Pakistan states that Kashmir’s status cannot be changed by unilateral measures.

August 5, 2019: Pakistan’s Cheif of Army Staff has called up a Corps Commanders Conference that is to be held tomorrow, August 6. Important decisions to be made.

August 5, 2019: Mehbooba Mufti, former CM J&K has called the move sinister. She condemns the abrogation of article 370.

August 5, 2019: Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated an all time high at this point. Indian army and air force have been put on high-alert.

August 5, 2019: Indian government has scrapped article 370 that gave special autonomous status to Jammu and Kashmir. Its a move to annex the occupied states.

August 5, 2019: All phone services have been shut down in Kashmir valley.

August 5, 2019: Indian Army has imposed curfew in Kashmir. Internet Communication has been cut off.

August 4, 2019: India has put Kashmir’s political leaders under house arrested. Hurriyet leaders, National Conference leader Omar Abdullah and Peoples Democratic Party leader Mehbooba Mufti has been put under house arrest.

August 4, 2019: India has distributed satellite phones among senior civil and police officers in the occupied state of Jammu and Kashmir.

Analysis: Implies that communication lines can be shut anytime soon.

August 4, 2019: Prime Minister Modi has summoned Union Cabinet Meeting tomorrow at 9:30 IST.

August 4, 2019: All exams in Kashmir valley have been cancelled

August 4, 2019: Foreign Minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi has summoned an emergency meeting of former foreign secretaries to assess the situation.

August 4, 2019: Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan has called a meeting of National Security to discuss the Indo-Pak escalation and grave situation in Occupied Kashmir.

August 4, 2019: Israel has issued travel warning for Kashmir to its citizens.

August 3, 2019: India is forward deploying 155mm Field Howitzers (Bofors) on LOC.

August 3, 2019: Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi has written letter to the Secretary General of the United Nations on grave situation of Kashmir.

August 3, 2019: India claims to have foiled LOC infiltration attempted by Pakistan Army. Pakistan has rejected the accusation.

August 3, 2019: Pakistan has briefed P-5 countries on India’s use of Cluster Bomb Munitions in Kashmir.

August 3, 2019: Indian Ministry of External Affairs warns tourists in Kashmir of insecurity stating the risk of unpredictable violence. Thousands of tourists have fled occupied Kashmir. Australia, UK, Canada and Germany have issued travel warning for Kashmir to their citizens.

August 3, 2019: Pakistan confirms India is using cluster bombs to target civilian population on Pakistan’s side of the LOC. ISPR and Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Pakistan condemn the use of cluster bomb munitions. Pakistan accuses India of violating International Law.

Analysis: Convention on Cluster Munitions is an International Treaty signed in 2008 by 108 countries. However 106 countries ratified the treaty. Neither India nor Pakistan are among signatories. A treaty is binding on a state when it ratifies that treaty.

August 1, 2019: 28000 Additional troops are being deployed in a rush in Occupied Kashmir by the Indian Army.

July 29, 2019: Three Indian troops killed as Pakistan retaliates to ceasefire violation.

July 29, 2019: Pakistan and India are engaged in crossfire across the LOC. Pakistan loses 2 civilians, 19 are reported injured. Site of target is Neelum Valley.

July 27, 2019: India has deploying 10,000 more troops in Kashmir. This has caused panic among the residents of the occupied state of Kashmir. All local political parties including National Congress led by Omar Abdullah and Peoples Democratic Party led by Mehbooba Mufti, express concern over Indian government’s recent aggressive measures.

July 25, 2019: Indian government is all set to scrap articles 370 and 35-A which give special autonomous status to the occupied state of Jammu and Kashmir. The articles protect the demography of Kashmir by denying property rights in Kashmir to the Indian citizens.